The Last Word

chicksGuineasJuly 15 – 19

I got all irate on Twitter, as did a number of other folks, and nothing good came of it — the argument looked like it was made of fireflies.

Why did mankind take so long to come up with this?  the Erik Vance Restaurant Guide to Saving the Oceans.

Guest Robin Mejia on the counter-intuitive message from a sad branch of biostatistics:  sometimes counts of bodies are less accurate than estimates of the numbers of dead.

Cameron actually writes a post on pool poop.  For which we’re all grateful, if still squeamish, because it turns out the real problem, Crypto, is rare.

In which we never learn whether Christie her own self — unlike the secretive experts who get addicted to it — knows how to sex chicks.

Thank God It’s Sexy Friday: The mysterious art of chicken sexing

chicksGuineas

One of my hens recently hatched a couple chicks. The one that survived is now a few weeks old, and I have no idea if it’s female or male. It’s not that I don’t want to know. It’s just that it’s surprisingly difficult to distinguish the two sexes when they’re young.

There are two ways to sex a hatchling: by flipping it upside down to examine its cloaca — the vent where its genitals and anus open  — or by examining its wing feathers. The second method is more straightforward, but it only works on a select number of chicken breeds, so the cloaca method remains the standard.

The Japanese famously perfected the art of chicken sexing. While pressing the chick just so, the sexer looks for a tiny bump at its vent. If it’s there, the chick is most likely male. But chicken genitals are variable, and distinguishing male from female takes hours and hours of practice.

During the 1930’s, 40’s and 50’s, second-generation Japanese Americans (called Nisei) became renowned for their chicken sexing skills. Their expertise was in high demand, because commercial poultry operations separate out the sexes early on to ensure that future laying hens receive different feed and care from cockerels.

A professional chicken sexer might sort 800 to 1200 chicks per day, with more than 98 percent accuracy. How do they do it? The technique is such a mystifying art that even the world’s best chicken sexers can’t explain precisely how they do it. Continue reading

Dropping the kids off at the pool

This summer it’s happened three times so far. Once, I got an urgent email from the backyard pool where they have baby swim lessons. Another time, my older son’s swim teacher pulled the class out of the high school pool and taught the kids “safety skills” on the deck. And when we were at camp, on the hottest day of the week, we peered through the chain link fence at a pool that was blue, inviting, and—because of recent events–empty.

Call it whatever you want: a floater, a Baby Ruth, an “incident,” or just plain old poop in the pool. By any name, it’s probably there much more often than we think. Continue reading

Guest Post: Estimating Deaths

robin

Last month, the UN announced that the conflict in Syria has killed at least 92,901 people.  The number has been widely picked up.  Yet many reports miss how crucial the “at least” really is. 92,901 is the number of confirmed deaths – that is, a count.  Mostly likely, considerably more people have died.  Soon, the statisticians who came up with the count will announce the war’s total death toll.  That number will be an estimate.

At first this may seem counter-intuitive.  What can an estimate add when you already have a count?  Shouldn’t we expect that between human rights groups, government agencies, and the media, most of the deaths during a war would get recorded?  History has shown that the answer to that question is a clear no.  

Patrick Ball and Megan Price, the statisticians who did the Syria count for the UN, are specialists in the quantification of violence.  Their organization, the San Francisco-based Human Rights Data Analysis Group, has estimated death tolls in Peru, Guatemala, Kosovo and many other conflicts.  In two of those examples — the civil conflicts in Peru and Guatemala — the researchers’ statistical analysis showed that more than half the killings were undocumented.  That is, more than twice as many people were killed as had made it onto an official list. Continue reading

Dinner Guide to Saving the Ocean

Trap caught lobster is usually a pretty good (expensive) sustainable option
Trap caught lobster is usually a pretty good (expensive) sustainable option

I am that guy.

You know the one. When the waiter comes to the table to give the specials, I’m the one who needs to know where the snapper’s from, how the swordfish was caught, and whether the salmon is farm-raised. My brother generally starts apologizing for me as soon as I open my mouth to see if the Chilean seabass is from the Marion Islands or the McDonald Islands. The answer better be the McDonalds or I lose my shit.

I am aware that there are lots of things on the menu. And that if we freaked out over every food injustice we’d quickly become this classic Portlandia sketch: Continue reading

The Last Word

beaver eating8 – 12 July

This week, Michelle remembered the man who demystified the force running through all of our lives, the source of our power — and very possibly our undoing.

“Contagious gasping, spilled drinks, the gripping of tables” — Jessa gave a first hand account of a genetically superior startle reflex.

Roberta interviewed the people who reintroduced Scotland to the world’s most adorable engineers.

Richard gave us a piece of his mind about the disservice the “god particle” nonsense does to science, to how it works, and to what it does.

And Michelle introduced us to a new bird!

For his bairns, and his bairns’ bairns, and their beavers

Beaver in grassThe Ramsay family has lived at the Bamff estate, 1300 acres of heathery hills and woodlands in eastern Scotland, for nearly eight centuries. Today, environmentalists Paul and Louise Ramsay share the property with three families of beavers. The couple brought the animals to Bamff in 2002 as part of a controversial effort to reintroduce European beavers, which hunters eradicated from Scotland some 400 years ago. I spoke to the Ramsays this week about dams, wetland conservation, the spread of wild beavers, and a mysterious snake potion.

How did the Ramsay family acquire the estate?

PAUL: It wasn’t acquired by violence and blows but because an ancestor in the 13th century, described in the original charter as Master Neish, was the physician to King Alexander II. He did some good service to the king, partly as an advisor.

I read that there’s a slightly more fantastical origins tale. Can you tell me the story?

Continue reading

The Godless Particle

Screen shot 2013-07-08 at 11.35.53 PMLast July I ended a post on the Higgs boson with an admonition: “Just don’t get me started on this ‘God particle’ business.” But did Christie listen? “I’m sharing it with my husband,” she emailed me about the post. “This whole ‘god particle’ thing has been driving him completely crazy.”

The term, at least in the popular imagination, dates to The God Particle, a 1993 best-seller by Leon Lederman, a Nobel laureate for his work on neutrinos and at the time the director of Fermilab. Most physicists loathe the term “God particle”; it trivializes and misrepresents their work. Peter Higgs himself has railed against it. Lederman’s response: Beyond the God Particle, scheduled for October publication. Continue reading